Here we go again with another edition of “Pick The Winner”. Let’s see what is the pick of the day ladies and gentlemen.
Carolina Hurricanes @ Anaheim Ducks – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-117)
(Note: I’m risking 1.17 units to win 1 unit)
Carolina enters this game winners of two straight and 4 of their last 6. The Hurricanes victories haven’t been coming with a lot of goals though, as it is more Cam Ward carrying the team on his back. The Hurricanes have allowed just 17 goals over their last 10 games (1.70 goals against per game) – and one of those games the Canes had 5 goals against. Take that out and that is just 12 goals against in 9 games. Over their last 8 games the Hurricanes have only scored 15 goals (less than 2 per game). Carolina is just 6-13-6 on the road this season. The Ducks are coming off a 3-2 shootout victory against the Flames on Monday night. They have averaged just 2 goals per game over their last 5. Anaheim has allowed just 20 goals against over their last 10 games, and that includes a game where they allowed 6 goals against versus Dallas – take that out and it equals 14 goals against in 9 games.
Cam Ward is playing sensational right now, and Jonas Hiller has been really good at times lately as well. The UNDER is 7-1 in the Hurricanes last 8 games overall and 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The UNDER is 6-1 in the Ducks last 7 games overall, and 4-1 in their last 5 games. Carolina is coming off 3 days rest, and the UNDER is 7-3-1 in their last 11 times playing on 3+ days rest. The UNDER is also 13-6-1 in the Ducks last 20 vs a team with a winning % below .400. Also take note that the Ducks have held opponents to 26 shots or less in their last 5 games, while the Hurricanes have put just 23 shots on net per game over their last 4. Looking at this from all angles I don’t see it being a high scoring game. Take the UNDER tonight.
Good luck tonight and we will have a few notes and observations before game time.