October is quickly winding down and there are only a few days left. It has been incredible month as we have been hovering in the 70-80% range the entire span. Last night we went 8-2 and mostly because we were smart enough to take the Calgary-Colorado over along with the Ottawa-Florida O/U. The record now stands at 88-23. What we are going to do tonight is take a stab at the late games.
Here is the reason why. The work is mounting here at the homestead sadly. Apparently I have been sadly informed that there are only 24 hours in a day. Tonight we wanted to reflect back a bit on what has happened in October and maybe look ahead a bit. There are some very noteworthy trends in October worth mentioning.
OCTOBER’S TRENDS
— The New Jersey Devils were a god awful 2-8 ATS in the month so far. Their overall record at 2-7-1 is the worst in the NHL and they were favorites in 6 of their 10 games.
— The Nashville Predators are 5-1-3 but under .500 ATS? Yes they are 4-5 amazingly enough. Lots of one goal wins will drive the bottom line crazy.
— Carey Price has led the Habs to six victories this month and they are 6-3 ATS. No one expected that in the preseason did they? I most certainly did not.
— Dallas has 16 GF in 4 road games and is 4-0 ATS on the road but only 12 goals at home and an abysmal 1-4 at home. 4 GPG on the road vs. 2.4 GPG at home. Somehow those numbers are a bit inverted and should eventually correct themselves.
— Marc Andre Fleury has given up a goal on his first or second shot faced in nine of his last twenty starts. Not a good sign for those thinking of betting Pittsburgh.
— The Buffalo Sabres and New Jersey Devils are both 0-4-1 at home currently. Neither one has covered at all at home this year.
— The Columbus Blue Jackets have won their first 3 road contests for the first time in franchise history and every team in the Central has 11 points or more.
— The New Jersey Devils -18 goal differential after ten games is the worst for a ten game span since the 1986-87 season. A team will not cover that way very much if at all.
— Speaking of goal differentials. The Washington Caps were a +15 after ten games last year. This year they are only a +4 and not surprisingly are only 6-4.
— Lastly, injuries are actually down from last year’s record level by nearly a third. Take notes ladies and gentlemen, it just seems like last year because of the more notable injuries early on.
BETTING LINES
| Rot | Team | Puck Line | Moneyline | Total | Team Total |
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| 11 | New Jersey Devils |
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| 12 | Anaheim Ducks |
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So when is a 2-7-1 team favored? This is oddly rare. The strangest thing is this. Basically Anaheim is straight even money as a favorite. This is also something that does not happen very often. The over/under is 5 1/2 and for two teams that have given up 35 goals each, that is more than reasonable. The question becomes who to pick at this point. I take the Anaheim plus 1 1/2 and run with the under oddly enough. It could be one of those games where a defensive struggle breaks out.
See everyone tomorrow night with more Best Of October and picks too.
